SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
46.74% ( -0.08) | 25.56% ( 0.02) | 27.69% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.9% ( -0.04) | 51.1% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.05% ( -0.03) | 72.95% ( 0.03) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( -0.05) | 21.86% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.91% ( -0.07) | 55.09% ( 0.07) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( 0.02) | 32.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% ( 0.03) | 69.57% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 46.74% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 27.69% |
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