SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Akron Tolyatti win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Akron Tolyatti | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
37.24% ( 0.44) | 24.53% ( 0.32) | 38.24% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( -1.51) | 43.43% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.18% ( -1.5) | 65.82% ( 1.5) |
| Akron Tolyatti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( -0.45) | 23.13% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.01% ( -0.66) | 56.99% ( 0.67) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( -1.04) | 22.61% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.78% ( -1.58) | 56.22% ( 1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akron Tolyatti | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.24% |
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