SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Sochi |
53.01% ( -0.85) | 24.17% ( 0.38) | 22.82% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.69% ( -1.11) | 49.31% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.64% ( -1.01) | 71.36% ( 1.01) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( -0.74) | 18.55% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.2% ( -1.26) | 49.8% ( 1.26) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.18) | 36.16% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( -0.19) | 72.94% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Sochi |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.25% Total : 53% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.85% Total : 22.82% |
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