SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
61.69% ( -0.04) | 21.79% ( 0.02) | 16.53% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.16% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.12% ( -0.04) | 47.88% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.94% ( -0.04) | 70.06% ( 0.04) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( -0.03) | 15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.55% ( -0.05) | 43.45% ( 0.05) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.84% ( 0.01) | 42.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.42% ( 0.01) | 78.58% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 61.68% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.53% |
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