SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
50.35% ( 0.14) | 23.39% ( -0.03) | 26.26% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.31% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.29% ( 0.06) | 42.72% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.88% ( 0.06) | 65.12% ( -0.06) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% ( 0.07) | 17.08% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.75% ( 0.13) | 47.26% ( -0.12) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( -0.05) | 29.68% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% ( -0.06) | 65.73% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.01% Total : 50.35% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 26.26% |
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