SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Gharafa win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Qatar SC had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Gharafa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Qatar SC win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Gharafa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Qatar SC |
44.69% ( -0.01) | 23.99% ( 0) | 31.31% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.85% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.71% ( -0.01) | 42.29% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.3% ( -0.01) | 64.69% ( 0.02) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.86% ( -0.01) | 19.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.21% ( -0.02) | 50.78% ( 0.02) |
| Qatar SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( -0) | 25.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( -0.01) | 60.99% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Qatar SC |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.31% |
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