SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 79.27%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Damac had a probability of 7.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.84%), while for a Damac win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Damac |
79.27% ( -0.77) | 12.85% ( 0.44) | 7.87% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.21% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.66% ( -1.04) | 28.34% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.84% ( -1.29) | 49.16% ( 1.29) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.4% ( -0.34) | 5.6% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.26% ( -0.98) | 21.73% ( 0.97) |
| Damac Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.36% ( -0.03) | 43.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.18% ( -0.02) | 79.82% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Damac |
| 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.28)4-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.13)6-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.83% Total : 79.27% | 1-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 12.85% | 1-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 7.87% |
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