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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 23
Mar 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
2 - 1
Al Okhdood

Al Mousa (45'), Haji (83')
Felipe (28'), Kante (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Collado (63')
Pedroza (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Ittihad
Tuesday, March 5 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-2 Al Riyadh
Friday, March 1 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al Okhdood

Al Akhdoud have shown major signs of improvement since the introduction of their new manager, but their away record is still very poor with five losses in their last six. Al Ittihad need a positive result here following back-to-back defeats in the league and cup and we feel they will be able to grind out a win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 14.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Ittihad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al Ittihad.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Okhdood
65.65% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 19.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 14.83% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 52.71% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (0.073 0.07)41.15% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.45% (0.073999999999998 0.07)63.54% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.27% (0.022999999999996 0.02)11.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.14% (0.051000000000002 0.05)36.85% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Al Okhdood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.71% (0.051000000000002 0.05)40.28% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.08% (0.047999999999998 0.05)76.91% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 65.65%
    Al Okhdood 14.83%
    Draw 19.51%
Al IttihadDrawAl Okhdood
2-0 @ 10.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 7.75% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.78% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 65.65%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.51%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 14.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Ittihad
Tuesday, March 5 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Al Ittihad
Friday, March 1 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al Wahda
Monday, February 26 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-1 Navbahor
Thursday, February 22 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-0 Al Riyadh
Sunday, February 18 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Navbahor 0-0 Al Ittihad
Thursday, February 15 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-2 Al Riyadh
Friday, March 1 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 3-1 Al Okhdood
Friday, February 23 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 3-2 Al-Ahli
Friday, February 16 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 0-0 Al Okhdood
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-0 Al Shabab
Friday, December 22 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-0 Al Tai
Thursday, December 14 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League


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