Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
We said: Al Ittihad 2-2 Al-Hilal
Given the number of stars and talents scattered across both teams, we anticipate a thrilling affair at the Prince Abdullah Al Faisal Stadium. Both sides are evenly matched on paper and we see them cancelling out each other's efforts in a high-scoring stalemate.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Hilal |
29.26% ( -0.85) | 27.39% ( 0.04) | 43.34% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 47.88% ( -0.54) |
| 42.64% ( -0.49) | 57.35% ( 0.48) |
| 21.82% ( -0.39) | 78.18% ( 0.39) |
| 64.91% ( -0.9) | 35.08% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.17% ( -0.96) | 71.83% ( 0.96) |
| 73.76% ( 0.2) | 26.24% ( -0.2) |
