SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.72%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Ittihad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Nassr |
32.43% ( -0.16) | 22.86% ( 0.23) | 44.71% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 64.55% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.65% ( -1.19) | 36.35% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.52% ( -1.31) | 58.48% ( 1.31) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( -0.65) | 22.44% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% ( -0.99) | 55.98% ( 0.99) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( -0.49) | 16.77% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.29% ( -0.89) | 46.71% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.3% Total : 32.43% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 6% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.37% Total : 44.71% |
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