SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Al Kholood had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-3 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for an Al Kholood win it was 2-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Kholood | Draw | Al-Nassr |
10.68% ( -0.4) | 15.74% ( -0.29) | 73.57% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 53.67% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.41% ( 0.23) | 33.59% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.6% ( 0.26) | 55.4% ( -0.26) |
| Al Kholood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.23% ( -0.54) | 41.76% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.77% ( -0.47) | 78.23% ( 0.48) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.17% ( 0.2) | 7.83% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.22% ( 0.51) | 27.78% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Kholood | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.3% Total : 10.68% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.74% | 0-2 @ 10.6% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 9.01% ( 0.16)0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.86% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 5.74% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 5.01% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 2.92% ( 0.11)1-5 @ 2.55% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.24% ( 0.06)2-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)1-6 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.23% Total : 73.56% |
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