SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.23%) and 1-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al-Ahli |
42.51% ( -0.12) | 21.87% ( 0) | 35.62% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 69.51% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.67% ( 0.01) | 30.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.42% ( 0.01) | 51.58% ( -0.01) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% ( -0.04) | 15.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.16% ( -0.08) | 43.84% ( 0.08) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.97% ( 0.06) | 18.02% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.09% ( 0.1) | 48.9% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 42.51% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.74% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.87% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.62% |
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