SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quadisiya win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quadisiya win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Quadisiya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Quadisiya | Draw | Al-Ahli |
38.63% ( 4.17) | 24.85% ( 0.43) | 36.52% ( -4.6) |
| Both teams to score 58.28% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.03% ( -1.7) | 44.97% ( 1.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( -1.66) | 67.32% ( 1.65) |
| Al Quadisiya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( 1.47) | 23.09% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( 2.11) | 56.94% ( -2.11) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% ( -3.08) | 24.21% ( 3.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( -4.57) | 58.55% ( 4.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Quadisiya | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.57) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.91)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.89)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.44)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.54)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.24)Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.56) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.65)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.66)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.59)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.39)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.23)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.32)Other @ 1.97% Total : 36.52% |
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