Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
Result | ||
Al-Taawoun | Draw | Al-Ahli |
31.31% ( 0.07) | 26.03% ( -0.02) | 42.67% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.97% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.73% ( 0.08) | 51.27% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.9% ( 0.07) | 73.1% ( -0.07) |
Al-Taawoun Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% ( 0.09) | 30.44% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% ( 0.1) | 66.64% ( -0.11) |
Al-Ahli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.15% ( 0.01) | 23.85% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.96% ( 0.02) | 58.03% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Al-Taawoun | Draw | Al-Ahli |
1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.66% |
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