SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 70.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-3 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 2-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Wahda | Draw | Al-Hilal |
12.75% ( -0.31) | 16.76% ( -0.09) | 70.49% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 57.03% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.22% ( -0.35) | 32.78% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.54% ( -0.41) | 54.46% ( 0.41) |
| Al Wahda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.7) | 37.82% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.41% ( -0.68) | 74.59% ( 0.69) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.71% | 8.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.07% ( -0) | 28.93% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Wahda | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 3.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.84% Total : 12.75% | 1-1 @ 7.59% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.76% | 0-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 8.07% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 7.85% ( -0)0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 5.02% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 4.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 2.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.05)2-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 70.49% |
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