SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al-Hilal |
22.68% ( -0.36) | 24.14% ( 0.54) | 53.17% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( -2.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.69% ( -2.64) | 49.31% ( 2.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.63% ( -2.42) | 71.36% ( 2.41) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% ( -1.8) | 36.28% ( 1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.93% ( -1.87) | 73.06% ( 1.86) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.51% ( -1.06) | 18.48% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.3% ( -1.81) | 49.69% ( 1.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.68% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.69)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.82) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.38)1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.26)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.17% |
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