SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 78.53%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 8.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 1-2 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Wahda |
78.53% ( -0.15) | 13.34% ( 0.12) | 8.12% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.94% ( -0.54) | 30.05% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.74% ( -0.65) | 51.26% ( 0.65) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.92% ( -0.14) | 6.08% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.9% ( -0.39) | 23.1% ( 0.39) |
| Al Wahda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.61% ( -0.35) | 44.39% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.56% ( -0.29) | 80.44% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Wahda |
| 2-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.27% Total : 78.53% | 1-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.02% Total : 13.34% | 1-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 8.12% |
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