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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 29
Apr 26, 2024 at 4pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
3 - 1
Al Fateh

Michael (58'), Neves (74' pen.), Albulayhi (90+15')
Michael (33'), Al-Dawsari (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zelarayan (57')
Bilic (34'), Baattia (38'), Tello (72'), Zelarayan (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Ain
Tuesday, April 23 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Fateh 3-1 Al Raed
Thursday, April 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al Fateh

Al-Hilal will be looking to bounce straight back from their AFC Champions League disappointment in this match and will know that regaining momentum will be crucial leading up to their King's Cup semi-final next week. Al Fateh are never an easy team to face, but we fancy the Blue Waves to grind out a result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 83.41%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 6.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.81%) and 4-1 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-2 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Fateh
83.41% (0.0030000000000001 0) 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0) 6.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Both teams to score 61.76% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
83.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)16.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.5% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)33.49% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.07%2.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.25% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)36.38% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)73.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 83.41%
    Al Fateh 6.64%
    Draw 9.95%
Al-HilalDrawAl Fateh
3-1 @ 7.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 7.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 6.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 6.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.71% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
5-1 @ 4.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 3.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-1 @ 2.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 2.87%
5-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
6-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
7-1 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 5.56%
Total : 83.41%
1-1 @ 3.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 9.95%
1-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 6.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Ain
Tuesday, April 23 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ain 4-2 Al-Hilal
Wednesday, April 17 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-4 Al-Hilal
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-0 Al Okhdood
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 3-4 Al-Hilal
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Damac
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 3-1 Al Raed
Thursday, April 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 2-1 Al Fateh
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-0 Al Ettifaq
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 2-3 Al Fateh
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 2-4 Al Ittihad
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 1-2 Al Khaleej
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League


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