SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Poland | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Moldova | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Faroe Islands | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Albania | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Poland | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Moldova | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Faroe Islands | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Albania | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Albania in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Albania.
| Result | ||
| Albania | Draw | Moldova |
51.73% ( 0.47) | 27.29% ( -0.04) | 20.98% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 41.31% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.78% ( -0.24) | 62.21% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.11% ( -0.17) | 81.89% ( 0.17) |
| Albania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( 0.11) | 24.36% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% ( 0.16) | 58.76% ( -0.16) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.61% ( -0.6) | 45.39% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.76% ( -0.48) | 81.24% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albania | Draw | Moldova |
| 1-0 @ 15.61% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 51.72% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.98% |
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