SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Moldova | Draw | Romania |
30.8% ( -6.56) | 25.37% ( -1.46) | 43.83% ( 8.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.86% ( 3.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.28% ( 4.97) | 48.72% ( -4.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.17% ( 4.35) | 70.83% ( -4.35) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( -1.69) | 29.5% ( 1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( -2.12) | 65.51% ( 2.12) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( 6.54) | 22.19% ( -6.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.4% ( 8.97) | 55.59% ( -8.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moldova | Draw | Romania |
| 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -2.23) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.82)2-0 @ 4.88% ( -1.67)3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.49)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.81)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.8% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -1.44)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.44)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.23)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 1.1)0-2 @ 7.42% ( 1.21)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 1.24)0-3 @ 3.72% ( 1.14)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.66)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.68)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.6)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.38)Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.83% |
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