SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Moldova in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Moldova.
| Result | ||
| Moldova | Draw | Liechtenstein |
51.01% ( 0.06) | 22.38% ( -0.01) | 26.61% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.22% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.29% ( -0.01) | 37.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.04% ( -0.01) | 59.96% ( 0.01) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.99% ( 0.02) | 15.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.52% ( 0.03) | 43.48% ( -0.04) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( -0.04) | 26.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( -0.06) | 62.08% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moldova | Draw | Liechtenstein |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.97% 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 4.09% Total : 51.01% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.61% |
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