SM
| Current League D1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Liechtenstein | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Moldova win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | Moldova |
44.37% ( -0.06) | 25.08% ( 0.01) | 30.54% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.69% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( -0.04) | 47.57% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( -0.04) | 69.77% ( 0.04) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( -0.04) | 21.45% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.53% ( -0.07) | 54.47% ( 0.06) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( 0.01) | 29.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.98% ( 0.01) | 65.02% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Latvia | Draw | Moldova |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 44.38% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.54% |
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