SM
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Albania | Draw | Iceland |
47.5% ( 0.08) | 24.31% ( -0.01) | 28.19% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% | 45.46% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% | 67.79% ( 0) |
| Albania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% ( 0.04) | 19.24% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.05% ( 0.06) | 50.95% ( -0.05) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( -0.05) | 29.67% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% ( -0.06) | 65.73% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albania | Draw | Iceland |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 28.19% |
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