Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Albacete had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 1-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Albacete win was 1-0 (12.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
0.14) 
-0.31) 
