Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 15.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
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