SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 41.84%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 28.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albacete | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
41.84% ( 0.01) | 29.68% ( -0.04) | 28.49% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.48% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.83% ( 0.12) | 65.17% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.99% ( 0.09) | 84.01% ( -0.08) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( 0.07) | 30.84% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( 0.08) | 67.12% ( -0.08) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.98% ( 0.09) | 40.02% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.33% ( 0.09) | 76.67% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albacete | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 14.51% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.67% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 28.48% |
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