SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.88%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Albacete |
30.74% ( -1.02) | 29.85% ( -0.42) | 39.41% ( 1.44) |
| Both teams to score 41.92% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.93% ( 1.07) | 65.07% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.06% ( 0.74) | 83.94% ( -0.74) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.85% ( -0.18) | 38.16% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.08% ( -0.17) | 74.92% ( 0.17) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( 1.46) | 32.22% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.29% ( 1.62) | 68.72% ( -1.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Albacete |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.64% Total : 30.74% | 1-1 @ 13.41% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.5)2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.84% | 0-1 @ 13.92% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.31)1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.26)0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.78% Total : 39.41% |
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