SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Ponferradina |
61.61% ( -0.81) | 22.77% ( 0.25) | 15.62% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 44.4% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.73% ( 0.02) | 53.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% ( 0.02) | 74.82% ( -0.03) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% ( -0.27) | 16.86% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.11% ( -0.48) | 46.88% ( 0.48) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.4% ( 0.8) | 46.59% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.82% ( 0.61) | 82.18% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 13.98% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.24)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 61.6% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.28% Total : 15.62% |
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