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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Reigart Stadium
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Albion Rovers
0 - 3
Dunfermline


Fagan (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Edwards (23'), Wighton (80'), Sutherland (88')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Albion Rovers and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Annan 1-2 Albion Rovers
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Bonnyrigg Rose0nan
2Clyde0nan
3Dumbarton0nan
4East Fife0nan
5Elgin0nan
6Forfar0nan
7Peterhead0nan
8Spartans0nan
9Stenhousemuir0nan
10Stranraer0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 63.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 14.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.59%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for an Albion Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Albion RoversDrawDunfermline Athletic
14.64%21.79% (-0.052 -0.05) 63.57% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 44.97% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (0.19 0.19)51.26% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (0.165 0.16)73.09% (-0.164 -0.16)
Albion Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.23% (0.11 0.11)46.77% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.69% (0.085000000000001 0.09)82.31% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.082999999999998 0.08)15.51% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.149 0.15)44.42% (-0.148 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Albion Rovers 14.64%
    Dunfermline Athletic 63.56%
    Draw 21.79%
Albion RoversDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 5.51% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 3.9% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 14.64%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.26% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.64% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 13.52% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 12.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.95% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.65% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.77% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.015 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.36% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.03% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 63.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Annan 1-2 Albion Rovers
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-0 Albion Rovers
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Albion Rovers 2-0 Stirling
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: East Fife 2-1 Albion Rovers
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Albion Rovers 3-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Annan 4-0 Albion Rovers
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 4-0 Annan
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Dunfermline (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 15 at 5.15pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Alloa 0-2 Dunfermline
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dunfermline 2-1 Clyde
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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