SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
33.76% ( -0.02) | 25.67% ( 0.01) | 40.56% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.93% ( -0.04) | 49.07% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( -0.03) | 71.15% ( 0.03) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( -0.03) | 27.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.67% ( -0.04) | 63.32% ( 0.04) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( -0.01) | 23.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.84% ( -0.02) | 58.15% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.76% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.56% |
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