Both teams are fighting to return to winning ways on Friday, but the visitors should be particularly wounded from last week's beating, and we envisage them falling short in a result which would see the two sides move level on points with two games left to play.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
0.43) 
-0.64) 
