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Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
Apr 25, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
P

Heerenveen
0 - 8
PSV

 
FT(HT: 0-5)
Til (7', 30'), Tillman (9', 11'), Veerman (44'), Bakayoko (52'), de Jong (71'), van Aanholt (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, April 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 6-0 Vitesse
Saturday, April 13 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

PSV are streaking toward the title and are doing it in some style. They have been banging in goals for fun lately and now face a Heerenveen side that have shipped nine in their last three home games alone, which does not bode well for their chances in this match. We feel the champions-elect will notch up another big win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawPSV Eindhoven
16.21% (-0.511 -0.51) 17.32% (-0.192 -0.19) 66.47% (0.70699999999999 0.71)
Both teams to score 64.81% (-0.45700000000001 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.63% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)27.36% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.05% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)47.95% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25% (-0.592 -0.59)29.75% (0.594 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.18% (-0.72 -0.72)65.81% (0.724 0.72)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.26% (0.12899999999999 0.13)7.74% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.45% (0.32199999999999 0.32)27.55% (-0.318 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 16.21%
    PSV Eindhoven 66.47%
    Draw 17.32%
HeerenveenDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 4.33% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
1-0 @ 2.79% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 1.69% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 16.21%
1-1 @ 7.14% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 17.32%
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 7.79% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 6.43% (0.145 0.15)
0-1 @ 5.89% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 4.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 4.73% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-4 @ 4.11% (0.119 0.12)
2-4 @ 3.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.55% (0.048 0.05)
0-5 @ 2.1% (0.074 0.07)
2-5 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 1.22% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1.09% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 66.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Heracles 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, April 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-3 Utrecht
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-3 FC Twente
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, March 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, March 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 6-0 Vitesse
Saturday, April 13 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 5-1 AZ
Saturday, April 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-2 PSV
Tuesday, April 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 PSV
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, March 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Dortmund 2-0 PSV
Wednesday, March 13 at 8pm in Champions League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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