SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City |
60.68% ( -0.1) | 20.47% ( 0.01) | 18.84% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.86% ( 0.07) | 38.13% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.59% ( 0.08) | 60.4% ( -0.08) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.81% ( -0.01) | 12.18% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.16% ( -0.01) | 37.83% ( 0.01) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.31% ( 0.13) | 33.68% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.66% ( 0.14) | 70.33% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.01% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.47% 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 18.84% |
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