With two of the lowest-scoring teams in the division going head-to-head, we are expecting a nervy and cagey affair. That said, we are backing the hosts to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 24.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Almere City
51.65% ( 0.05)	23.4% ( 0)	24.95% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 56.93% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.06% (

-0.06)

43.94% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.68% (

-0.06)

66.32% (

0.06)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95% (

-0)

17.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.79% (

-0)

47.21% (

0.01)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.64% (

-0.07)

31.36% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.27% (

-0.08)

67.73% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 51.65%

Almere City 24.95%

Draw 23.39%

Vitesse	Draw	Almere City
2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 51.65%	1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 24.95%