SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
28.13% ( -1.57) | 22.89% ( -0.34) | 48.97% ( 1.9) |
| Both teams to score 61.72% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.05% ( 0.56) | 38.94% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.74% ( 0.58) | 61.26% ( -0.59) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( -0.76) | 26.37% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.47% ( -1.02) | 61.52% ( 1.01) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( 0.92) | 16.17% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.36% ( 1.65) | 45.64% ( -1.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.13% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.18)2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.59% Total : 48.97% |
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