Apart from the 4-2 loss to Arne Slot's Feyenoord, Utrecht have been in sensational form of late and should be confident of further cementing their spot in the top eight with three points on Sunday night.
Heerenveen battled back hard to earn a point versus Twente earlier in the week, but we feel that De Superfriezen will be unable to repeat the trick at Abe Lenstra Stadion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
-0.23) 
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