SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Albacete had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Albacete win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Albacete |
44.9% ( 0.21) | 26.73% ( -0.3) | 28.37% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.7% ( 1.14) | 55.29% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.48% ( 0.93) | 76.51% ( -0.93) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( 0.61) | 24.53% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% ( 0.85) | 58.99% ( -0.86) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( 0.67) | 34.68% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.59% ( 0.71) | 71.41% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Albacete |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.49% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.37% |
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