Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 36.09%. A win for Albacete had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.16%) and 1-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Albacete win was 1-0 (13.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.