Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.