SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 77.48%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Oxford City |
77.48% ( -0.33) | 13.27% ( 0.11) | 9.25% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.78% ( 0.24) | 25.22% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.8% ( 0.31) | 45.2% ( -0.31) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.73% ( -0) | 5.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.23% ( -0.01) | 20.77% ( 0.01) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.81% ( 0.63) | 38.19% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.04% ( 0.6) | 74.96% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Oxford City |
| 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 6.06% ( 0)1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 3.57% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.75% 5-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.95% Total : 77.48% | 1-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 13.27% | 1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 9.25% |
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