Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
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