Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Amiens in this match.