Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dijon would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
