Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Quevilly win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Quevilly win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
0.26) 
-0.2) 
