Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Quevilly win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
-0.47) 
0.4) 
