Despite a well-earned draw last weekend, Angers have not been able to prove they can compete with sides of higher quality in Ligue 1 yet this season.
Defeats to Nice, Lille and Lens suggest another could be in store against a Nantes side that have started off well and love playing away from home.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
-0.28) 
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