SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Ghana |
50.84% ( -0.25) | 27.26% ( 0.11) | 21.9% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 42.4% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.64% ( -0.21) | 61.37% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.74% ( -0.15) | 81.27% ( 0.15) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( -0.2) | 24.4% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( -0.29) | 58.81% ( 0.3) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.09% ( 0.03) | 43.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.95% ( 0.03) | 80.05% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angola | Draw | Ghana |
| 1-0 @ 15.11% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.23% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.9% |
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