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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
 
GN

Angola
1 - 1
Ghana

Joao (51' pen.)
Gelson (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bukari (72')
Addo (58'), Mensah (58'), Ayew (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ghana 1-0 Angola
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ghana 1-0 Angola
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Angola 1-1 Ghana

There was little to choose between Angola and Ghana last time out, and another tight affair is on the cards here. We are anticipating an open and entertaining affair with the teams nullifying each other, giving rise to a share of the spoils at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 36.15%. A win for Angola had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.27%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Angola win was 1-0 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AngolaDrawGhana
34.03% (-0.07 -0.07) 29.82% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09) 36.15% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 42.57% (0.222 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.43% (0.264 0.26)64.57% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.41% (0.185 0.18)83.59% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53% (0.097999999999999 0.1)35.46% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (0.099999999999998 0.1)72.23% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (0.242 0.24)34.03% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (0.259 0.26)70.71% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Angola 34.02%
    Ghana 36.14%
    Draw 29.81%
AngolaDrawGhana
1-0 @ 12.5% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 34.02%
1-1 @ 13.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.06% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.81%
0-1 @ 13% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.01% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 36.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ghana 1-0 Angola
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Angola 0-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 20 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mali 3-3 Angola
Monday, January 16 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: South Africa 1-1 Angola
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Angola 1-0 Botswana
Thursday, November 17 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Angola
Sunday, July 10 at 1pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Ghana 1-0 Angola
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Niger 2-0 Ghana
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Ghana 3-1 Sudan
Thursday, January 19 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Madagascar 2-1 Ghana
Sunday, January 15 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Ghana 0-2 Uruguay
Friday, December 2 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: South Korea 2-3 Ghana
Monday, November 28 at 1pm in World Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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