Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16

Jan 27, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de Bouake

Angola
3 - 0
Namibia

Gelson (38', 42'), Mabululu (66')
Neblu (17')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Haukongo (14'), Iimbondi (63')
Haukongo (40')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Angola and Namibia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Angola 2-0 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Namibia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Namibia 0-0 Mali
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

We said: Angola 2-0 Namibia

A goal-shy Namibia are likely to suffer AFCON 2023 elimination against an Angola side that have had goals in them from multiple sources all tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.6%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.

Result
Angola	Draw	Namibia
55%	27.42%	17.57%

Both teams to score 36.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.26%

65.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.59%

84.41%

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.53%

24.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.09%

58.91%

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.49%

51.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.31%

85.68%

Score Analysis

Angola 55%

Namibia 17.57%

Draw 27.42%

Angola	Draw	Namibia
1-0 @ 17.74% 2-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 8.29% 3-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 3.89% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.37% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.01% Total : 55%	0-0 @ 12.6% 1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 2.75% Other @ 0.3% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 2.77% Other @ 2.54% Total : 17.57%