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Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 24, 2024 at 5pm UK
Laurent Pokou Stadium
MN

Namibia
0 - 0
Mali


Hotto (45+5')
FT

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: South Africa 4-0 Namibia
Sunday, January 21 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 1-1 Mali
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Namibia 1-1 Mali

Mali have been one of the surprise packages in this competition and look destined for the last 16 after two very positive performances to date. Namibia were humbled last time out but showed enough, even in defeat, to suggest that they are not out of this competition just yet. We feel this could be a nail-biter and fancy that there will be nothing to split these sides at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.51%) and 1-2 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.89%), while for a Namibia win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NamibiaDrawMali
17.46% (-0.33 -0.33) 29.16% (0.157 0.16) 53.38% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 33.09% (-0.70699999999999 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.74% (-0.642 -0.64)70.27% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.6% (-0.41 -0.41)87.4% (0.414 0.41)
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.55% (-0.823 -0.82)54.45% (0.828 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.45% (-0.506 -0.51)87.55% (0.51000000000001 0.51)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (-0.233 -0.23)27.36% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)62.82% (0.308 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Namibia 17.46%
    Mali 53.38%
    Draw 29.14%
NamibiaDrawMali
1-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.57% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 17.46%
0-0 @ 14.89% (0.35 0.35)
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 2.31% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 29.14%
0-1 @ 19.31% (0.34 0.34)
0-2 @ 12.51% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 5.41% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.29% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 53.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: South Africa 4-0 Namibia
Sunday, January 21 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Namibia
Tuesday, January 16 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Ghana 0-0 Namibia
Monday, January 8 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-2 Namibia
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Namibia
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Namibia
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tunisia 1-1 Mali
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 2-0 South Africa
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 6-2 Guinea-Bissau
Saturday, January 6 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-1 CAR
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mali 3-1 Chad
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Mali
Tuesday, October 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies


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